Outstanding (What Work is Really For)

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From:
Sent: Tue 11/22/2005 4:41 PM
To: Ryan
Subject: ?

here's the way i see it.

in MJ (sacrilegious, i know) you have a #1 receiver (depth chart only, #2 if you count algernon) going up against detroit and a dre bly-less secondary.

in BJ (sacrilegious as well because any BJ is better than BJ) you have a teams #2 receiver who often gets the single coverage thanks to the attention even an injured drew bennett commands.

both teams like to check down to their tight ends quite often and both have quarterbacks capable of pulling the ball down and moving.

it's encouraging that MJ had a pretty good showing last week against a tampa defense that's usually pretty stout against the pass.

it's also encouraging on the flipside that BJ is going up against what is arguably the worst secondary in the league in SF this weekend.

atlanta is away at detroit while tennessee has SF at home. away teams from my experience try to take the crowd out of the game by pounding the ball if they can and it's more common for home teams to be able to run the ball...

all of these things make them seem like somewhat equal choices maybe leaning slightly toward BJ in my mind at this point.

the next question is gameplan. after losing two in a row at home (one to a terrible GB team) while trying to pass the ball more will atl try to revert to what they do best? pound the ball with duckett, juke 'em with dunn and outrun 'em with vick? who knows... what will the gameplan be? ten. on the other hand frequently has issues running the ball and SF has shown that if they dedicate the personnel to it they can stop even a good runner (tiki for 71 yds, julius to 85) so the mediocre chris brown could be in for a long day and mcnair could put it up 35 times with great success...

then you have to look at which team has the most potential to end up throwing the ball more regardless of the initial gameplan (who is most likely to end up down 17 at halftime). my vote in this category would have to be ten. with the emerging dorsey-lloyd combo but then there's the frank gore/kevan barlow medical issues. on the other side you have detroit with one of the most powerful offenses in the league if they could ever get their sh!t straight. the roy williams/charles rogers/mike williams combo is pretty sick if they can find a way to score...

the final thing i'd look at are the early over/under indicators. i always go where the points are when i can't make a decision any other way. as it stands -- both games are at 42.5

what a b!tch...

i'm glad i don't have to choose (although i have some similarly sh!tty choices).

if it were me... i'd choose jones but it's really a coin toss in my mind...


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From: Ryan [mailto:]
Sent: Tue 11/22/2005 3:48 PM
To:
Subject: ?




Who do I start, Michael Jenkins or Brandon Jones?

I am leaning towards Jenkins.